今天是到台湾第一天。激动之情到了从机场到学校的大巴上才有。早上四点起床，纠结紧张登机，又到了下午才到学校。但是，我的学陪超级棒！！！是个老师哎，别人都是学生，可以聊天，又很关爱我，好幸运。来了我们这一批五个人都超好，又很幸运！！！啊啊啊啊。
永远成为成长型，BETA VERSION
单词
throughout：遍及，到处[θruː'aʊt]
例：These magazines are sold at bookstores throughout the country.
non sequitur：不合逻辑的推论['nɔn'sekwitə]
forecast预测['fɔːkɑːst]
probability 概率[prɒbə'bɪlɪtɪ]
statistics统计[stə'tɪstɪks]
reasoning推理 and the nature of knowledge.['riːz(ə)nɪŋ]
nature：本质['neɪtʃə]
例：You have some mistaken ideas about the nature of happiness.
groundbreaking：开创性的
例：This is another groundbreaking, first time ever surgery.['sɜːdʒ(ə)rɪ]
outcome结果['aʊtkʌm]
reiterating重申[riː'ɪtəreɪt]
address 发表演说[ə'dres]
pundit权威; 专家['pʌndɪt]
employ使用/雇佣[ɪm'plɒɪ]
distilled into：浓缩；吸取…的精华[dɪs'tɪld]
例：The writer managed to distil his ideas into one article.
努力：manage to
作家努力把他的想法浓缩成一篇文章。
短语
six sections of 章节
be bound to 必然会[baʊnd]义务、束缚
take one's time：从容不迫；不著急
例：Take your time deciding.
不急，您慢慢决定。
dialectical reasoning 论证推理
dialectical：辩证的[daɪə'lektɪk(ə)l]
例：The essence of dialectical thought is division.
辩证思想的实质是二分法。
an inconvenient truth和a reassuring lie一个不舒服的真相和让人安心的谎言
句子：
- The six sections of “Mindware” offer a variety of perspectives on how we think.
- A book from Nisbett on this important subject is bound to be met with high expectations.
- Nisbett writes clearly, and he takes his time with difficult concepts ranging排列 from multiple多元 regression回归 (which answers the question, Given many variables that contribute to some outcome结果, what is the effect of each?) to dialectical reasoning 论证推理(a method of argument for resolving opposing views in order to establish truth).
- He found that about 15 percent of events they claimed had little or no chance of happening did in fact happen.
- If I’d only followed CNBC’s advice, I’d have a million dollars today — provided I’d started with a hundred million dollars.
- National security agencies have an obvious interest in Tetlock’s project.
- It is the duty of 10th man to disagree.
- Think in terms of probabilities and recognize that everything is uncertain.
- The prescriptions in both “Superforecasting” and “Mindware” should offer us all an opportunity to understand and react more intelligently to the confusing world around us.
- You have some mistaken ideas about the nature of happiness.
