周三,美国单日死亡人数首次超过1000人,是每天死亡人数的两倍多,其死亡率是美国最致命的两种疾病-肺癌和流感的两倍。
病毒的死亡计数很难及时更新,但约翰霍普金斯州冠状病毒数据库(其来源包括世界卫生组织,美国疾病控制和预防中心,欧洲疾病预防控制中心和中国国家卫生委员会)显示:美国时间周三美国东部时间晚上10:25达到1,040例。自该病毒于1月下旬在美国首次出现以来,已有5116人死亡,并感染了215,000多人。
美国单日最高纪录是星期二,有504人死亡。
一些研究人员说, 到4月中旬,每天的死亡人数可能增加一倍以上,达到2,200甚至更多。根据美国疾病预防控制中心(CDC)的数据,这一数字将超过心脏病,该国每天杀毒人数约为1,772人,是该国的头号杀手。
唐纳德·特朗普总统在白宫关于该病毒的简报中说:“我们的国家正处于伟大的国家审判之中。” “我们将经历非常艰难的两个星期。”
肺癌杀死每天433人在美国-这是相同数量的对波音747飞机座位,根据美国的肺癌基金会。乳腺癌每天导致约116名美国人死亡。
流感是美国每年都会期待的慢性杀手,也是成千上万美国人注射流感疫苗的原因 ,在2017-18年度流感季节,美国每天估计造成508人死亡,这是该国最严重的一次流感。疾病预防控制中心(CDC)称,最近十年。CDC的数据显示,今年的流感季节每天平均记录383人死亡。
卫生官员说,COVID-19被认为是一次突发性医疗事件,因为它不太可能将其致命性维持超过三四个月,而1,000的阈值是一个重要的阈值,因为它表明了突发性疾病爆发的严重程度美国医疗系统。
它还提出了有关COVID-19可能随时间造成致命影响的问题。白宫冠状病毒特别工作组成员安东尼·福奇(Anthony Fauci)告诫说,这种病毒可能会像流感一样成为复发性事件。他说,美国需要为下一个周期做好准备,可能会在2020年秋季发生。
福齐说:“我们确实需要为下一个周期做好准备。”
医护人员Ludnie Emile准备于2020年3月19日在佛罗里达州棕榈泉市的得克萨斯州冠状病毒测试站测试人们的COVID-19。
美国国家过敏和传染病研究所所长Fauci强调需要继续开发疫苗并对其进行快速测试,以便“可用于下一个周期”使用。
华盛顿大学本周更新的一项研究 预测,如果整个国家竭尽全力限制接触,则冠状病毒的死亡将在接下来的两周内达到峰值,并且大多数州的患者将不堪重负。
在全国范围内,华盛顿大学的模型预测,4月中旬的每日平均死亡人数为2214人,到夏季末,将有84000名美国人死亡。根据疾病预防控制中心(CDC)的数据,这是2018-19年度流感季节所夺走的生命的两倍多,该季节造成34,000人死亡。
但是该数字代表了该模型最可能的估计。华盛顿大学健康指标与评估研究所创始人兼主席克里斯托弗·穆雷(Christopher Murray)领导的研究小组认为,情景的范围从36,000例COVID-19死亡到超过152,000例。
根据白宫周二发布的估计,多达24万美国人可能死于新的冠状病毒,这一严峻的预测影响了唐纳德·特朗普总统扩大社会疏散准则的决定。
研究预测,在6月11日之前,每天的冠状病毒死亡人数可能不会降至100以下。
健康专家说,冠状病毒的未来取决于诸如人类是否对它产生增强的免疫力以及是否开发出有效疫苗等因素。如果两者均未发生,则该病毒很可能会继续传播,并像普通流感一样将其确立为常见的呼吸道病毒。
疾病预防控制中心(CDC)估计,自2010年以来,流感每年导致900万至4500万例疾病,14万至810,000例住院治疗和12,000至61,000例死亡。
这篇文章最初刊登在《今日美国》上:冠状病毒在美国一天杀死1000人,是流感的两倍
本新闻来自雅虎新闻
网友昼夜颠翻译
新闻原文:
More than 1,000 in US die in a single day from coronavirus, doubling the worst daily death toll of the flu
The U.S. topped 1,000 coronavirus deaths in a single day for the first time Wednesday, a daily death toll more than double that of two of America's most deadly illnesses – lung cancer and the flu.
Death counts from the virus are difficult to keep up to date, but the Johns Hopkins coronavirus database – whose sources include the World Health Organization, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the European CDC and the National Health Commission of China – shows that the U.S. hit 1,040 cases Wednesday at 10:25 p.m. ET. Since the virus' first appearance in the U.S. in late January, 5,116 people have died and more than 215,000 have been infected.
The previous high mark for a single day in the U.S. was Tuesday, with 504 deaths.
Some researchers say the daily death toll could more than double – to 2,200 or more – by mid-April. That figure would eclipse heart disease, the nation's No. 1 killer with about 1,772 deaths per day, according to the CDC.
“Our country is in the midst of a great national trial,” President Donald Trump said in a White House briefing on the virus. “We’re going to go through a very tough two weeks.”
Lung cancer kills 433 people each day in the U.S. – that's the same number of seats on a Boeing 747 airplane, according to the Lung Cancer Foundation of America. Breast cancer kills about 116 Americans a day.
The flu, a chronic killer that the nation has come to expect in yearly cycles – and the reason millions of Americans get flu shots – killed an estimated 508 people per day in the U.S. during the 2017-18 flu season, the nation's worst in the last decade, according to the CDC. This year's flu season has recorded an average of 383 deaths per day, CDC figures show.
While health officials say COVID-19 is considered a flash medical event in that it is unlikely to maintain its deadly hold for more than three or four months, the 1,000 threshold is a significant one because it shows just how potent an unforeseen outbreak can be on the U.S. medical system.
It also raises questions about COVID-19's possible deadly effects over time. Anthony Fauci, a member of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, has cautioned that the virus could become a recurring event, much like the flu. He said that the U.S. needs to get ready for the next cycle, possibly to occur in the fall of 2020.
"We really need to be prepared for another cycle," Fauci said.
Healthcare worker Ludnie Emile prepares to test people for COVID-19 at their drive-thru coronavirus testing station in Palm Springs, Fla. on March 19, 2020.
Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, emphasized the need to continue developing a vaccine and test it quickly so it will be available "for that next cycle."
A University of Washington study updated this week projects that if the entire nation makes an all-out effort to restrict contact, coronavirus deaths will peak in the next two weeks and patients will overwhelm hospitals in most states.
Nationally, the University of Washington model predicts a peak daily death toll of 2,214 in mid-April, and a total of 84,000 Americans dead by the end of summer. That’s more than twice the lives claimed during the 2018-19 flu season, which killed 34,000 people, according to the CDC.
But that figure represents the model’s most likely estimate. The range of scenarios spans from 36,000 COVID-19 deaths to more than 152,000, according to the research team led by Christopher Murray, founder and chair of the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation.
As many as 240,000 Americans may die from the new coronavirus according to estimates released by the White House on Tuesday, a grim prediction that influenced President Donald Trump's decision to extend social distancing guidelines.
The daily coronavirus death toll likely won’t dip below 100 before June 11, the study predicts.
Coronavirus symptoms can be confused with that of the flu and, indeed, the two viruses have similar effects. Tracking the flu has been equally troublesome for health officials. The CDC says the burden of influenza disease in the United States can vary widely and is determined by a number of factors including the characteristics of circulating viruses, the timing of the flu season, how well vaccines are working and how many people got vaccinated.
Health experts say the future of the coronavirus depends on such factors as whether humans develop increasing immunity to it and whether an effective vaccine is developed. If neither occurs, the virus will likely continue to circulate and establish itself as a common respiratory virus like the flu.
The CDC estimates that the flu has resulted in 9 million to 45 million illnesses, 140,000 to 810,000 hospitalizations and 12,000 to 61,000 deaths annually since 2010.